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STM ThinkTech, Turkey’s first technology-based think tank, is scheduled to export its products to NATO for the third time this coming December. The contract for this third project covers the new version of the NATO Resilience Decision Support Model developed by the company to assist NATO’s decision-making processes when faced with strategic shocks, such as electricity blackouts, cyber-attacks and big human movements. Within this project, which is expected to be completed in late December, STM is to develop an aggregated model that will assess the integrated resilience of eight NATO countries through open source strategic shock data.

The contract for the third project related to the Resilience Decision Support Model, developed indigenously for NATO by ThinkTech was signed in August 2020. The new model, known as the NATO SHAPE Aggregated Resilience Decision Support Model, analyses the effects of large-scale complex problems in support of decision-makers, and will be used to make an integrated resilience assessment of eight countries, to be delivered to NATO on 31 December, 2020.

With the developed model, the effects of different types of strategic shocks in various fields, such as energy, transportation and communication, as well as possible risks, can be analysed for specific scenarios. This entire process provides NATO with decision support to be made at a strategic level, and facilitates decision-making authorities in their choice of the steps to be taken and the measures they can take.

In a Request for Information Document published by NATO Allied Command Transformation (ACT) in August 2018, solution proposals were sought related to the “assessment of NATO’s resilience capacity” problem. The solution approach and methodology provided by STM was accepted by ACT, and after the first contract was signed in October 2019, the first prototype model was completed and delivered to NATO ACT. A second contract was signed with STM in February 2020 for the upgraded version of the first model, which was successfully run in a NATO-wide online workshop on 21st April 2020. For this latest model, to be developed as part of the third project, data collected from open sources regarding strategic shocks will be processed using various machine learning algorithms.

Jack Richardson